Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Light the Torch | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | U Bet Jo’s Praying | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brenna | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Digital Sale | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Prado | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greenwich Pike | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valentina Minister | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mrs. Clean | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Great Shashi | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Full Exchange | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Misspent | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bernardo’s Legacy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashover | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Spearman | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vinicio | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Praiseworthy | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Personal Drama | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Digger Barns | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mackor | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bernard Theatre | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bel Rosso | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Down in the Bayou | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hub City | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kaitie Kait | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Three Girls | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jayana | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s So Sexy | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Sayely | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dukes Gonna Tapit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cadron Settlement | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gowokegobroke | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Milchin | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Growth Mindset | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun’s Choice | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amazing Woo | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He’s a Commisioner | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Real Rocket Boy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Firstflashofmoon | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Abundancia | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jan’s Girl | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Friendlypersuasion | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strand of Gold | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swoonatra | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chick’s Shadow | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rosie’s Halo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beechnut Trophy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Commerce | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Commandant | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Vanishing | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mutaawid | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Runner | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lights of Broadway | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Commerce | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ninja Star | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uno Tiger | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | O Captain | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lou | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zizka | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Go Liam | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Tyson | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lawler | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tres Coronas | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iron Hand | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruiz Junior | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Georgeisimportant | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ocala Dream | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Knox | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coppermaster | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beastly Speed | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Everdoit | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Jack | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scar | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Naa Dudette | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit of Victory | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Musical Journey | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Repaynt | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Musthavebeenlove | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Funtastica | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Puckered | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heavens Express | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thank the Academy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Fortune Cookie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Chilling Factor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Sheer Drama H.) – Sheer Drama H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beth’s Dream | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bluefield | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charlie’s Wish | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maryquitecontrary | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imonra | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sophia’s Storm | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Infinite Diamond | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hihellohowareyou | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rolling On | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grimes | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Deliberation | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Cab | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nichiren | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Future | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Highly Flammable | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Crusader | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cantaro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Takecareofbusiness | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | South America | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.