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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tinys First Runaway 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Jrs Majestic Runaway 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Rh Querido Ruperto 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Mr Choo Choo Train 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Corona19 4.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Jessa Boss 6.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Im a Good Fridaygirl 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lynns Piloto Love 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jj Forever Louisiana 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Double Tac Flash 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 La Pantera Jp 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Tf Nana Jess 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Sheza Bar Hopper 10.00 7 13-1
10 10 Backstreet Charmer 10.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Vf Wheely Sixty 12.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Precious T 20.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Sheza Train Baby 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tg Classy Dasher 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Le Madame P3 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Maria Isabella 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 First Majestic Jewel 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Dlj Pilotos Lady 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Hy On Sweet Luck 3.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Paper Route Frank 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Zoomin Prize Perry 12.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Kataklysmik 20.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Heza Hustler 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Tg Mount Coup 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Sheza Flirtin 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Perry Lou Cartel 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Ajs Maxin Out 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Sheza Tko 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Marla Cartel Angel 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Pyc Streakin Time 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Rm Patriot Patron 4.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Cr Black Chill 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Missy Mtz Piloto 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Alcala Riptide 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Dashing Grand 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Cos Ima Pilot 5.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Demystify 4.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Streakin Aces 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Contrary Eagle 3.50 6.9 13-1
3 3 Open Pickles 8.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Jess Sista Girl 20.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Rl Kanguro 8.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Aunt Ila 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Treme Derby) – Treme Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kp Paintmeasymphony 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Moonin Princess 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 One Sweet Sugar 2.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tk Sweet Eyes 3.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Explosive Legend 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Wild Blue Debutant 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 San Lorenzo Rose 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Xdw Jess a Rogue 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Lassie Fast Dash 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Dead Winner 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Heza Monee Cartel 5.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Run for the Prize 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 D Queen of Queens 12.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Carry On Moon 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Teemptation 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Tf Miss Tee Jess 8.00 9.3 17-1
10 10 Flying Gypse Deluxe 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Knockout Power 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dodge City 10.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Billie Bad Azz 3.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 Lrh Grant James 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Jess a Wild Candy 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 One Sweet Boss 4.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Cb Pinkmoonin 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Hezas Sin Tachas 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Rogue From the South 8.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Jess a Cali Blue 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Audubon S.) – Audubon S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Robbiesdashingleagle 0 0-1
2 2 Cool Ya Jets 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Corona Blue Estrella 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Wild Train Fortune 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Apolitical Queen 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Patty Wagon Train 4.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 One Sweet Rogue 5.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Jes Winnin Cartel 10.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Robbiesdashingleagle 10.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Bbs Mooninchick 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 San Lorenzo Luna 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Queen of Power 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Courageous Cartel 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Mammas Royal Flush 6.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Sarayu 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 You Bux 10.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Jrs Sheza Corona 8.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Kiss My Folly 8.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 My Lil Blue Beauty 4.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Mda Louisiana Road 8.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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