Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Just a Little Luck 1.60 1 2-1
3 2 A Real Jewel 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 4 Classymademoiselle 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Shanghai Sunrise 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Roman Empress 4.00 4.5 8-1
1 98 Yolo Calls 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sarwar (FR) 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dandy Man Shines (IRE) 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Irish Prophet 3.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Reiquist 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Ah Jeez 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Malibu Coast 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Journey D’ Oro 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Mi Cabo Express 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Lettheliquortalk 5.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Thirsty Thursday 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Come Out Fighting 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Outgunned 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Smokem Ez 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Aransas Pass 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Lee’s Baby Girl 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Uptown Sweetheart 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Schilflied 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Goddaughter 12.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Thought Process 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Apocalyptic 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Thirsty Destiny 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Rhythmical 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lord Sheldon 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Departure 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Royal Act 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Funkenstein 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 Abadon 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Terracotta Soldier 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Impossible Task 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Red Pill 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Boss Sully 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Fleet Feet 3.50 4 8-1
7 7 Eddie’s Last 4.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 News At Ten (GB) 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Trust Daddy 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Tejon Pass 8.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Valiant Knight 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Power Play 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Unique Power 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Citizen Bull 2.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Kalea Bay 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Post Game 10.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Smash It 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 98 Toppers At Seaside 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Del Mar Oaks Presented By Keeneland Sales) – Del Mar Oaks Presented By Keeneland Sales

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Iscreamuscream 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Medoro 5.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Whiskey Decision 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Buchu 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Zona Verde (IRE) 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Circle of Trust 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Sea Dancer 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Sakura Blossom 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tiz Tok 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Upstart Yankee 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Stop and a Tres 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Big Buzz 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Zimba Warrior 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Dos Vicios 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 National Generaux (IRE) 4.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Table for Ten 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dancing Soul 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Loopy 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Champagne Camie 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Aventapp 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Tiergarten 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Sweet Sonny 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Woodbine Way 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Adaay In Asia (GB) 12.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Mylittlerunaway 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.