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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pretti Xtreme 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Obrigada 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Trade Secret 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Whistler’s Style 3.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Halo City 3.50 6 11-1
4 4 Tara’s Talent 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 April Antics 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Skidmore S.) – Skidmore S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Out On Bail 0 0-1
2 2 Out On Bail 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jet Sweep Joe 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Spiralizer 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Classic Time 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Raise the Bar 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Soontobeking 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Governor Sam 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Toscano 3.00 1 2-1
2 3 Fast Buck Freddy 4.00 2 4-1
6 7 Boss Tweed 6.00 2.1 4-1
1A 2 Wine Responsibly 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 4 Liberty Central 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 6 Brown Eyed Cat 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Land d’Oro 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Whiskey N Soda 2.00 1 2-1
7 8 Allied Attack 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Andy Cant 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 7 Frizzante 4.50 4 8-1
4 4 Incantation 12.00 4.1 8-1
1A 5 Chalky Cat 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 1 Refuah 6.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Dune Road 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sacred Image 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Highway Harmony 4.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 From Hello 8.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Destine to Race 6.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Magic Eight Ball 12.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Evie Does It 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Alette d’Oro 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Wish List 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Lady Firefoot 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sizzle 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Dunedin Causeway 0 0-1
1 1 Mama’s Middie 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Braca 4.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Dunedin Causeway 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Irie Man 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Four Eyes 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Disco Dancer 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Saffredi 5.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Irish Tides 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Army Proud 5.00 1 2-1
4 3 Swift Magic 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Pay the Juice 1.80 4.3 8-1
1 10 One Vision 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Son of Honor 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Stormy Birthday 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Epitaph 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Joevia’s First 20.00 SCRATCH
1A 11 Calvin’s Ride 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 More Therapy 10.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Bold Fortune 3.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Doomed 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Breath Away (GB) 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Quarrel 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Malleymoo 15.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Caroline Street 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 8 Tax Implications (GB) 1.20 4.6 9-1
4 3 Swoop to Finish 12.00 5 9-1
7 6 Titled Lady 20.00 5 9-1
6 5 Elounda Queen (IRE) 5.00 6 11-1
10 10 Into Happiness 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 12 Signal From Noise 1.20 SCRATCH
11 11 Street Jam 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Allamericanbeauty 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Union Avenue H.) – Union Avenue H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Leeloo 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Majestic Return 10.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Cousin Kristi 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Security Code 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Tricky Temper 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Captainsdaughter 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Cara’s Time 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wrigleyville 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Mixologist 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Goa (IRE) 3.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Vino Rouge 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Toy Collector 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Progeny 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Pretty Ana 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Greavette 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Dancing Dean 4.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Hopesndreams 20.00 5.3 10-1
14 14 Wonder Ride 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Camera 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Reliable Lady 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Standoutsensation 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 14 Not Guilty 2.00 1 2-1
7 6 Bobby Jean 20.00 4.6 9-1
16 15 Looking for Ginny 3.50 4.7 9-1
11 10 Althena 50.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Dash of Lemon 30.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 True Myth 6.00 8 15-1
13 12 American Kestrel 12.00 SCRATCH
14 13 Classic Cara 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Philly’s Finest 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Capo Donna 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Celestial Express 50.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Shakrevenge 6.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Jenas Mercy 20.00 SCRATCH
6 98 Addressable Market (IRE) 0.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Our Finest Hour (FR) 4.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Z Train (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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