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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 I Am the Guy 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tm Imperial Heart 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Hez Her Sicario 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Dark Eagle 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Jj Nanos Meteorite 4.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Lone Star Red 10.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Marygold Cartel 12.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Magic Marley B 12.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Jr Pyc Secret 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr Dohick 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Encino Man 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Five Star Chick 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Bjs the Toughest Guy 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Zoom All by Myself 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Sipp of Corona 12.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Miss Leaving You 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Mine That Bird 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fishing for a Living 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Tlc the Pilot 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Pjs Moonpie 8.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Jrs Majestic Shadow 4.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Rl Ganzito 10.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Loveyoutothemoon 8.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Seperate Moon 15.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Rf Obvious Power 15.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Bjx Supernatural 15.00 9.6 18-1
5 5 Fast N Famous Toast 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 A Shot At Corona 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Jrs Toasted Cartel 4.50 2.3 4-1
10 10 Sea Train B 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Ima Powerful Jammer 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Power Intriguing 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Piloto West 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Jp La Fresita 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Lrh Jess Shake It Up 12.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Bt Bluesman 15.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Coastal Tide 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jp La Venadita 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 The Shining Cartel 12.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Engine Victory 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Hock Tree Special 5.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Sole Train 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 A Corona Moon 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Louisiana Pretty 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Cantcontainthepower 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Ttt Cowboy Boot 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Tf Jess a Eagle 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wendells Fast Dash 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Lm I Am Justified 4.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Apollitical Kate 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Lynns Sweet Blood 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Blew Duck 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Traininthefastlane 6.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Mornin Freight 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Jp El Huerfanito 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 World Hero 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tuckers Prize 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 C C Girl 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 C the Power 5.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Power by Black 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Miss Apolitical 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Th Mai Tai Tom 8.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 This Train Flies 4.50 9.1 17-1
3 3 Ajs Whiskey Bent 8.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Ks Grand Kiss 12.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 One Dashing Dove 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Gentilly Dash S.) – Gentilly Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Regardlezz 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Wagon Kisses 10.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 India de La Nieve 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Onemorewildtrain 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Jeg Fascination 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Doin It Just for Fun 3.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Geaux Party Geaux 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Dianetoseparatefromu 15.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 El Capi 8.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Goat Wagon 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kp Talkofthetown 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Mda La Mos Freight B 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 American Clown 4.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Miss Tee Winning Cos 15.00 5 9-1
10 10 Fast Dashin Blood 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Blackjack Tlc 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Jess Surfing 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Ruse Hint 15.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Too Many Dreams 10.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Achieve All 10.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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