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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Comanche Gal 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Glacier Rim 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Nothing Is Forever 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Hollywood Penny 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Last Elizabethan 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Shoot for the Sky 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Pass the Baton 3.00 1 2-1
6 5 Frost Alert 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 I Don’t Get It 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Uncle John 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Gucci Boy 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Cupid’s Crusader 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 98 Summer Solstice 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Apple Valley Girl 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Buds N Suds 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Recycleyourheart 2.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Princess Daddy 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Dyin a Thirst 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Pebbles B Awesome 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Sunset Grazen 4.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Little Dumpling 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Western Grit 8.00 1 2-1
8 7 Ocasek 10.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Chirag 15.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Candy’s Wildcat 12.00 3.1 6-1
14 12 Billy Joe Shaver 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Summer Chief 10.00 4.3 8-1
11 10 L Squared 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Mendelssohns Music 3.50 5 9-1
9 8 Mischievous Dylan 20.00 5 9-1
12 11 Devilnthebluegras 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 St. Eligius 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 98 Getemdusty 0.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Love Lyon 4.50 SCRATCH
13 98 Sunset Storm 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ankyrah 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Port Ellen (IRE) 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Control Function 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Strange Addiction 15.00 4 7-1
4 4 Gila 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Quaria Thunder 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Pink Ace 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Keen to Go 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Big Drinker 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Splashed in Gold 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Syntactic 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Midnight Mojo 3.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Sippin Whiskey 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Supermax 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Ctt And Toc S.) – Ctt And Toc S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sunset Glory (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Linda’s Gift 0.80 1.9 4-1
8 7 Musical Rhapsody (IRE) 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Federalist Papers 15.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Duvet Day (IRE) 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Sun Of Hill (BRZ) 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 98 Zeyaraat 0.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Abhita 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sunrise Journey 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Lansdowne (GB) 10.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Shashashakemeup 6.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Clampett 4.50 6.1 12-1
8 8 Rivoli 8.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Playing Hardball 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Piper’s Causeway 8.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Trusty Rusty 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Stonevicious 12.00 7 13-1
11 11 El Diablo Rojo 5.00 10.6 20-1
5 5 Solomons Gold 12.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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