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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rock Star Rebel 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Keepinitreal 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Manhattan Twist 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Man of Mischief 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Ozzy 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Gamebred 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Oath of Omerta 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Vibrant Express 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Salt Spartan 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2X 10 High Front 1.40 1 2-1
2 6 Heaven Street 1.40 2.5 5-1
7 5 Chess Master 3.00 4 8-1
3 9 Rithm Nic 5.00 5.5 10-1
5 2 Three Zero 10.00 6.6 12-1
4 1 Me ‘n Sap 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 4 Scuttlebuzz 4.50 8 15-1
8 7 Nolo Contesto 12.00 8.2 15-1
2B 8 He’s Got It 1.40 9.9 19-1
1A 11 Maxwell Esquire 4.50 SCRATCH
6 3 Silardi 10.00 SCRATCH
9 12 Scaramanga 12.00 SCRATCH
3C 14 Briterdayzahead 5.00 SCRATCH
10 13 Squire Creek 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Cuando 10.00 1 2-1
1 2 Pentathlon 0.40 1.2 2-1
1A 8 Upstanding 0.40 2.6 5-1
5 5 Bourbon’s Fault 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Ignite the Light 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Daily Grind 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Prairie Dunes 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Fattoush 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Classic Mark 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ministerial 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Winter’s Ghost 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Allaboutthemoney 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 He’s Got This 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Wild Banker 30.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Geebert 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sorority Prank 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Big Rich 10.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Call Bob 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 He Has It All 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Romantic Charmer 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Very Stormy 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Concorde Spirit 2.50 6.7 13-1
2 2 Midnight Legend 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Trading Secrets 0 0-1
Trading Secrets 0 0-1
3 3 Snipsnippitysnip 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Never Really Know (IRE) 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Trading Secrets 15.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 She’s Got Will 10.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Dr Glick 4.00 3 6-1
10 10 Wonderland 3.50 3 6-1
8 8 Laughing Lady 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Thunder Princess 30.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Chelsey’s Choice 10.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Il Suo Oro 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Competitive Market 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Rick Violette S.) – Rick Violette S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Courtly Banker 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fidelightcayut 4.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 B D Saints 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Russian Realm 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Instamatic 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Cable Ready 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Elysian Meadows 3.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Ez Roll 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Land d’Oro 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Doc Sullivan 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nimitz Class 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tabeguache 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Olympic Dreams 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Cooke Creek 1.80 2.9 5-1
6 6 Classic Catch 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Donegal Forever 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Wind Dancer 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Caesar’s Ghost 15.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Ferris Muler 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 New York Scrappy 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Tomacon 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Amplitude 3.00 5 10-1
3 3 D C Boy’s 10.00 10.3 19-1
6 6 Kid Kreesa 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Stormy’s Dreaming 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Tinebar 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Baricci 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Isomarshall 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Accidental Bid 1.40 SCRATCH
8 8 Charles J 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reconcile 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Daughter of Time 12.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Proud Mary 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Heaven Rules 10.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Riley Jean 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Parola Sicura 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Leslie’s Humor 4.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Masterof the Tunes 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Belle of the Ball 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Majestic Return 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Strictly Taboo 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Theresasilverlinin 2.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Status Seeker 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Risk Threshold (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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