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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sue Nahmi 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Ferarri Prize 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Queen B Cartel 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Goin South for Rogue 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 B All In 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Jewel Tide 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 M This Game Is Fire 12.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Lias Deluxe 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ttt La Rolex 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sizzlin Zayla 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Kk Mr Piloto First 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Bb Coronas 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Meagan All Over 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Jnj a Game Jess 10.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Rf Fear the Eagle 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Gias Mooin Eagle 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Dashn for Corona 0 0-1
5 5 Baylors Boy 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Hadleighs Bb Girl 8.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Louisiana Power 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Painted Rusty 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Eye Jess Runaway 4.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Sheaza Hero 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Ana Maria 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Star of Vestal 5.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Eagle in the Curl 8.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Dashn for Corona 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sweater Tlc 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kiss My Mud Bug 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Masons Jet Black 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Cr Wicked Wabbit 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Easy Jumpn Jet 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Hez Hunters Rogue 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Midnight Biscuit 3.50 5 9-1
4 4 Quick Ladys Cash 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ponookies Fast Cash 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Changing the Game 3.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Toasta Patriot Chick 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Hesa Crazy Storm 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Jrs Egos Sweet Dash 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Force of Anakin 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Docs Sfj 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Jess Ta Dash a Blue 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Zoomingprincezydeco 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sweet Bureaucracy 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Patins Duck 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Oh Hez Gold 3.50 4 8-1
10 10 Mean Tweet 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Valentina On Fire 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Bar the Saint 5.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Eye B Jammin 10.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Heres an Eagle 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Grand Charming Elan 8.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Blood and Class 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Venus Tlc 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lelas Corona 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Lonestar Runner 4.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Catch Ya Later Chic 12.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Jess Illusion 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Bellas First Rogue 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Flaming Eagle 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Di Esperanza 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Tcb Eye B Famous 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Bt Tres Lunas 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Streakin Fast Blood 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fdd Went Fishing 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Jjs Lace 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Corona Only 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Chloes Prize 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Jess Sippin Coronas 3.50 5.9 11-1
3 3 B a Lady 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Ranch Watr 12.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Elegant Dynastia 12.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Maggi Mae 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Jrs Majestic Gator 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Famousflyingfreight 4.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Zoomin Tee 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Sweet Drink 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Keep Ya Faith 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Sizzlin Cartel Blue 5.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Jess a Tree of Aces 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Carters Showgirl 6.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Bayou Moon 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Sheza Rare Blood 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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