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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Zio Jo 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lahaina Flavor 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Pioneer Prince 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Neon Lights (IRE) 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Uncle Reg 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Kid Azteca 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Smile Baby Smile 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Norah’s Princess 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Beautiful Janet 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Love Our Family 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Amelia Bleu 5.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Half Nelson 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Ila Veiw Too 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Spread the Risk 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Highlands 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Pace Lane 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Madison Rae 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Satellite Heart 10.00 1.9 3-1
6 6 Platinum Diva 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Brand New Dream 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Girl of My Dreams 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Just Trust Me 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Mr. Machupicchu 5.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 It’s Thirsty Time 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Whiskeyinateacup 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Kangaroo Coast 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Betheguynotthatguy 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Glorious Oscar 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Unsustainable 15.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Shankadopolous 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Known Idea 2.00 1 2-1
5 4 Disko Tribute 2.50 1.1 2-1
8 7 Refocus 5.00 1.4 3-1
3 2 Tizz a Good Thing 15.00 1.7 3-1
2 1 Straight Luck 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 3 Beer Money 10.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Lemon Sushi 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Chromeflash 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 98 Westport Captain 0.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Piper’s Causeway 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Battle Cruiser 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Captain Sparrow 4.50 2 4-1
7 7 Broadway Unions 10.00 2 4-1
2 2 Bowtie Boys 12.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Fast Chaz 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Russells Hustle 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Mongolian Champ 12.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Bartholdy 5.00 4 8-1
8 8 Here Comes Braylon 12.00 7 13-1
1 1 Winemaker 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Andiamo Ragazza 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Clubhouse Bride 10.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Irish Wahine 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Long Mayshe Reign 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Giant Kid 15.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Dorie Miller 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Diamond Bar Gal 4.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Bold Choice 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Square Tomatoes 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Spot D’ Oro 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Flying Blind 15.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Kissmeyoufool 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Winsitwell 20.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Classic Alphie 30.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Triple Pass 1.40 2.3 4-1
7 7 R Awesome Kid 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Supreme Coast 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Eddie’s Wave 12.00 4.6 9-1
10 98 Kobe W 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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