Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Jonathan Sheppard H.) – Jonathan Sheppard H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Going Country (IRE) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Abaan |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jimmy P |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Too Friendly (GB) |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pickanumber (IRE) |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Going Country (IRE) |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zarak the Brave (FR) |
1.80 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kiyomori |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Artistic Choice (IRE) |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cinderella’s Cause |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Midtown Lights |
1.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saratoga Kisses |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Echo in Eternity |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Krystalheir |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Amity Island |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
3 |
Midnight Mile (IRE) |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
6 |
Immensitude (FR) |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Not So Close |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Thirty Thou Kelvin |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Blissful |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Watch This Birdie |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Strikingly Spun |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1A |
10 |
Movie Moxy |
0.80 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
9 |
Amanda’s Folly |
0.80 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Edict (ARG) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Islander |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Refuse to Lose |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Helcia |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lord I Wonder |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cost Containment |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tipple |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sweet Distraction |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Suzie O’cain S.) – Suzie O’cain S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Red Burgundy |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Summer Whirl |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Awesome Czech |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boxed Wine |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Brocknardini |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Munny Grab |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bossy Jeans |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Downtown Channel |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Alette d’Oro |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Landed |
0.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Divorced of Course |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cara’s Dreamweaver |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Disco Star |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Princess Fiona |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mischief Lady |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Timia |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gattatiz |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Alpine Giant |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Annascaul |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Young At Heart |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Divorced of Course |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
15 |
15 |
Princess Mischief |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Dancing Dakotah |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Stone Smuggler |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Teller to Win |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Mangetsu |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Frankie Hiccups |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
3 |
Condiment Girl |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
Fontanafredda |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Willful Desire |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Perpetual Praise |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Everlys Girl |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Violent Vixen |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
R Funny Bizness |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1A |
11 |
Mon Petit Chou |
4.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
5 |
Awesome Annmarie |
4.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Backed by Gold |
8.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ghostly Girl |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Preliminary (GB) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss San Gabriel |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beets |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Revalita (FR) |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Collaboration |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Curlin’s Girl |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bon Adieu |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Centuria (IRE) |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Destiny Star |
10.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Preliminary (GB) |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ziaerati |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Take Shape |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Crushed Ice |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Whocouldaskformo |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Standoutsensation |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Yes Indeed |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
2 |
Java Buzz |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Final Verdict |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
6 |
Borletti (IRE) |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Gaslight Dancer |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Typhoon Fury |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hilarious Affair |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Feathers Road |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
King Moonracer |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1A |
11 |
He’s Got It |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Collect From Ike |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Dr Oseran |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
12 |
Magnificent Mile |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.