Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | She’s Always Rosie | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Cool | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Answer the Call | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palmetto Fury | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oh My Mia | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Proprietary Trade | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iridescent | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Squints | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apollo Code | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Etendre | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Temecula | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rachel’s Rock | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willow Bend | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Defiant | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It Takes Heart | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Icy Reply | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jackie the Joker | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Negra Gata | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Save Us Melania | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coquito | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreaming of Carli | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | That’sthefactjack | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yingle Bells | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bam Bam | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thedreamcontinues | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Reya | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Within View | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tony O | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Judge Rules | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Waflr | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charming Jim | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Tone | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cattani | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mazzei | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Triple Word Score | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Stand Disco | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Big Ego | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Alpha Cat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Albedo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tiz the Prince | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Senegal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Seminarian | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Cara | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| La Cara | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | La Cara | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Going Steady | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mia’s Mom | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tejanita | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Table Flirt | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trading Strategy | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quickick | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trango Tower | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mister J T | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nottoway | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joking Way | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notable Bob (CHI) | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Boy Al | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charging Aero | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ribbons and Medals | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bronx Bomber | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rider’s Special | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Mahony S.) – Mahony S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fandom (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mansa Musa (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yellow Card | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Run Carson | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apollo Ten | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reef Runner | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Works for Me | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Rascal | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Howard Wolowitz | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Baraye | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | No Nay Mets (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J J’s Joker | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | That’s Money | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bobby the Tank | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eirik Ridge | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Swagg | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twelth Man | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anthracite | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Badlands Ruler | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dads Good Runner | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ski Country | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Fanduel Fourstardave H.) – Fanduel Fourstardave H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Carl Spackler (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ottoman Fleet (GB) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | More Than Looks | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Quality | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Major Dude | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Money Supply | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Master of The Seas (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Saratoga Derby Invitational S.) – Saratoga Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson’s Run | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Royal Majesty (GB) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Legend of Time (GB) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fulmineo | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carson’s Run | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Izzy d’Oro | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deterministic | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First World War | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Trikari | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.