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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 8, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blakely’s Wish 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Endless Vow 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Trail of Gold 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Practically Summer 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Bubbe Dearest 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Lady Wisdom 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Route Sensation 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Passive Management (GB) 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Stop the Press 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Trulli Warrior 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Badge of War 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Legitimize 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Prospero (IRE) 4.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Elko County 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Protective 0.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Ak Sar Ben Derby 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (John Morrissey H.) – John Morrissey H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rotknee 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Looms Boldly 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Sheriff Bianco 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Factually Correct 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Light Man 4.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Ocean’s Reserve 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Eighty West 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Strengthnguidance 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Friday Surprise 1.40 3 6-1
7 7 Tapwrits Temper 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Storm the Streets 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Play the Gray 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Ky Anansi 30.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Probale Ten 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Aspen Grove (IRE) 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Avenue Niel (IRE) 6.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Lady Emily Kathryn 15.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Sabalenka 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Be Your Best (IRE) 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Elle Est Forte 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Dreaming of Mo 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Luna Moth 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Flirting With Time 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pop Idol 2.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 And One More Time 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Rematch 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Soul Secret 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Moonlight Promises 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Mean Eileen 4.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Radio Goo Goo 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 I’mwishingonastar 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bourbon Serengeti 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Street View 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cararra 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Classy Mischief 20.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 I’m Thinking 2.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 The Taco Lady 6.00 4 7-1
9 9 Celestial Express 50.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Ascension 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Autumn’s Turn 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Lark’s Mischief 2.50 1 2-1
1 6 Nelson Avenue 4.50 2.5 5-1
9 10 Radical Right 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Lost in Rome 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 1 Good Juju 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Dangerous Ride 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Pipes and Drums 15.00 7.7 14-1
1A 9 Kunshan Bridge 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Didinger 12.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Rithm Nic 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Weekend Rags 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mz Big Bucks 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Fancypants Juliana 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Marco T. 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Patria 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Latest Edition 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Queens Dancer 30.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Bank On Anna 4.50 6.2 12-1
3 3 Strictly Taboo 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sweet Dutchess 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Kannon Fire 10.00 2 4-1
8 8 Ninja Abarrio 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Goats On a Tree 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Turf Rocket 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Dream Central 15.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 More Mango 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Busy Morning 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Diamond Status 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Roman Goddess 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Oh My Mia 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Palmetto Fury 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sizzle 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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