Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Sanger |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
American Cat |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hardmoneymuchachos |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
McLaren Vale |
0.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Seattle Breakout |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Arrogates Spirit |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rogue Son |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Ima Joker |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Den of Iniquity (GB) |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Will |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Queen Berkeley |
5.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Matters |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
In Your Life |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
God’s Favor |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Jubilant Joanie |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Hello |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Violet Storm |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dramatizer |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Hopes |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Warrior Lady |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Councilwoman Jilly |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dorine’s Wild Cat |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dance Kid |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
6 |
Sabres |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ace Ace Baby |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kythira |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Princess Is Olivia |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Unified A. P. |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Little Lady Lou |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Ifuaintfirsturlast |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Envisioned |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
98 |
Recalcitrant |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
6 |
Nell’s Legacy |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
5 |
Grazen Gator |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Orange Thunder |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Lunar Ride |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Anthony’s Spice |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
On Time Tam |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Mrazek’s Old Dream |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Just a Little Cynn |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Abbey Theatre |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
11 |
10 |
Apple Valley Girl |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
98 |
Tapatia Leah |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Silver N Black |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
It’s My World |
4.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cody Boy |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bart Sip Some |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Be Punctual |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Toppers Wager |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Razen the Stakes |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
98 |
Vodka Vodka |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
No Cap |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Whimsical Heir |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Baby Kristen |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Iconic Sky |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sharp Ride |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Vengeance |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wishtheyallcouldbe |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
T N T Nova |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fly a Fantasy |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Capital Outlay |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Red On Sunday |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Trotsky |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Danzing Forest |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Remi Or Not |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mining District |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Son o’ Sanpete |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Scent |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Zip Om |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
I’llhaveanotherwon |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Drive for Show |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.