Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Jonathan Kiser Memorial Novice S.) – Jonathan Kiser Memorial Novice S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tuddenham Green (GB) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Walk The Warrior (IRE) | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hold Hard (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zarak the Brave (FR) | 1.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hidden Path | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kiyomori | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cibolian | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clara Belle | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiz Purple | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Will Not Be Swayed | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Purple | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thankfully | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bossy Dish | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Princess | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gerlin’s Empire | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Not Too Late | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mezcalifornia | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dillinger | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Own the Field | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Master of Arms | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Principe d’Oro | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rider’s Special | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Papagiorgio | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Parkway | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fighting Back | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Classic Legacy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fromanothamutha | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victors Valiant | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Seeking Unity | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abadin | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pirate | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barrage | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Itsallcomintogetha | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Into It | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mission North | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cool Operator | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Unit Economics (GB) | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Traveler | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Milagro | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unsung Melody | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Everyoneloveslinda | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | L Street Lady | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All That Magic | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hollywood Walk | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sunday Shoes | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Grammy Girl | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bump in the Night | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Backstretch Rose | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rainingatthebeach | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlit Weekend | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Vita Sofia | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Karen’s Honor | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brooklyn Dantz | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frannie Lew | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blenheim Baby | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Neuschwanstein | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | On the Ledge | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal King | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unclecharliesgift | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Xcellent Men | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aaraj | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paschal Moon | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boom Boom Thunder | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Giant’s Fire | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Muazarah | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormquist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Johnstone Mile H.) – Johnstone Mile H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bustin Bay | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Silver | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunset Louise | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maggy’s Palace | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Echo in Eternity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cupid’s Heart | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Riverwalk | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | True Connection | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Crusading | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bounteous | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Bearings | 1.60 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pujol | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guile | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Fire Baron | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Smooth an Easy | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tony’s Mo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Zen Air | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Steadfast Resolve | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | El Alacran | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Adventurous Spirit | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.