Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Cornwall |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Quiet Intent |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Winston Blue |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shamateur |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Guns n’ Rojas |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ravello Beauty |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ashbury |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Reload’s Rebel |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Valyrian Sky |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Yacht Boy |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Society’s Thunder |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stayhonor Goodside |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Adelaide Court |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Lake Superior S.) – Lake Superior S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Summer Commander |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Live Lucky |
0.80 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ready to Collect |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Junior Hot Shot |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Criminal Intent |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jo Daddy |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Zippy Gizmo |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lucky Romance |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fanore (IRE) |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Silver Smoke |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bearing Down |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sugar It’s Eli |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Our Flag Flying |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smart Almasty |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fabelman |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Thunder Bay S.) – Thunder Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Olivia Rose |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Little Teddy |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Just Follow Me |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miramichi |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tabloid Material |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Red Eleanor |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vandoo |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Kokomo |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spiritual Man |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
He’s Not Joking |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lover Boy Mo |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ylivoimainen |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Awe Inspired |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Colchester |
6.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Just Jacobo |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Naughty Frosty |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crucial Taunt |
10.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Notorious Gangster |
12.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
12 |
12 |
Charted Map |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Onenightstandards |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ninetyfour Expos |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Taranto Titan |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Have It My Way |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Palio |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mehlek |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Paintthetownsilver |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Eskiminzin |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Mr. Who |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Sunrise Drive |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
J P Hellish |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Twin City |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
South Bend |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Aha Moment |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wentru |
3.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Grandson |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Maakwa |
8.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ron’s Gizmo |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
War Strategy |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gilt Edge |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Western Whirl |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tour the City |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Causin’ Mayhem |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
King Elvis |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
British Artillery |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chamber Music |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Myra’s Boy |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Proud Ronin |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Cabernaydo |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Diomedes |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Quiet Knight |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rebel Faith |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bee Me |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hello Ladies |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dubawi Bull |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Good Point |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Redneck Rebel |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.