Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royal Blush | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Well Actually | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Katherine’s Gem | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday With Amy | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | O Wow | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Key Stroke | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Choose to Be Happy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Munnings Model | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Trebuchet | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Pistol | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Munnings Model | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Canadian Avro | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phantom Jewel | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pontiac | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Break the Spell | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coherence | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Braquet | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mason’s Music | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Bourbon Girl | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mitole Power | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Great Kate | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flip Floppin Fast | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit Bear | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Roikop | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empire’s Treat | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nantuckets Day | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Presence | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Sweets | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saccharine | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vucchella | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wellness | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orient Beach | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Closing Appeal | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Serious Green | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skylight Caper | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Cash Factor | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Periwinkle | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Mitole | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Afleet Flatter | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Golden Canary | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Niigon Factor | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bolt Enoree | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Onella | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cry Freedom | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Lady Bee | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Mayfair | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | You Be the Judge | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bravo Kate | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good as Gone | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Duval Street | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good News Money | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princessonamission | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent and Sinful | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Jade | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Storms of Life | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | English Jubilee | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vrana (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Magnificent | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scat Humor | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Liam’s Awesome | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Timber | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Saucy Name | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Sweet Briar Too S.) – Sweet Briar Too S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Loon Cry | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Verdejo | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Panama Red (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Star Candy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Into Mischief | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Vyvyanne | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blind Spot | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Owen’s Tour Guide | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Macha | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gastown Babe | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Queen of the Mud (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Strike a Chord | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maximum Fifty | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Olympic Fencer | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Novel | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empty Gesture | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talk to Ya Later | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minedandrefined | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cozy Curlin Kitten | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peggy | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nikita’s Gem | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shameless Affair | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gather | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Mood | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Gizmo | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blackdiamond Dinny | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tianma | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dreams and Schemes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Our Flag Flying | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Clarayouthebest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sharp Flame | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.