Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dew | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reach for the Rose | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Assertiveness | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Insubordination (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sam’s Rocket | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Clock Tower | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Concord Green | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Davy Crockett | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Asbury Park (GB) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Toner | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King’s Leap | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corvus | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spirit of the Law | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Probability | 2.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twelve Nelson | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Friend Ofthe Devil | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | But Now Am Found | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smilensaycheese | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Killybegs Kid | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Movie Moxy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deck of Cards | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Buzzy | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cinderella’s Cause | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anileate | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Halo City | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inouaintalkintome | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Just a Nyquist | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Batucada | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Dusk | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Silent Melody | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mim | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Call Her Bluff | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | She Takes Cash | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elliptic | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Baroness Bourbon | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bossy Jeans | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Alette d’Oro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 7 | Red Burgundy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Brooklyn Dantz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Midnight Concerto | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Gram | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncaged | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | I Got Game | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Vista | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncaged | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cyclone State | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classicist | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | C K Wonder | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shot in the Dark | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Twenty Four | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Code of Justice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Prestigio | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Antietam | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Praetor | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Prestigio | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Contrabandist | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ripped | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ferocious | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lough Currane | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Discreet Dancer | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Math Tutor | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flat to Da Mat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Saratoga Derby Invitational S.) – Saratoga Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Legend of Time (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | White Palomino | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diego Velazquez (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carson’s Run | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Majesty (GB) | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deterministic | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Izzy d’Oro | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cugino | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Test S. Presented By Ticketmaster) – Test S. Presented By Ticketmaster
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ways and Means | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Emery | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ways and Means | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Denim and Pearls | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brightwork | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | My Mane Squeeze | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Belle’s Blue Bell | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Fasig-tipton Lure S.) – Fasig-tipton Lure S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pioneering Spirit | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Film Star | 1.60 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swiftsure | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Johny’s Fireball | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smokin’ T | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Forever Souper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | More Than Looks | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Irish Aces | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Big Everest (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kubrick (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Troy S.) – Troy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cogburn | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischief Magic (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grooms All Bizness | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Invasion | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outlaw Kid | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sosua Summer | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thin White Duke | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Angel | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Disarmed | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Xy Speed | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Buck | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Witty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Whitney S.) – Whitney S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur’s Ride | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Bright Future | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | First Mission | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | National Treasure | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crupi | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Disarm | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Arthur’s Ride | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Post Time | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Charge It | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Skippylongstocking | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior Johny | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bright Future | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Il Miracolo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tumbarumba | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Striker Has Dial | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | St. Benedicts Prep | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bon Adieu | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nikitis | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Enchanted | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zadorsky | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Audacious | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She Prospers | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wonder Ride | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mystifying | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Drake’s Passage | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Phileas Fogg | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cyber Ninja | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Capture the Flag | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Black Powder | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Magical Ways | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daunt | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | California Frolic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Inexorable | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mendelssohns March | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Reckoning Force | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Trail | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kalik | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lincoln Hawk (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mondego (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Beuys (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.