Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amalfi Drive | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Five a Side | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | So Much Jazz | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fur Elise | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rose Gold Candy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rush Week | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Takeschargesmiling | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dutch Mills | 1.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Tiger | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Omaha Eight | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Team Travis | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Aspiring Comedian | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twist ‘n Twirl | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arrow Speed | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dalinar | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Country Charlie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Melt With You | 1.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Last Dream | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Licorice | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mario’s On Point | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rugby Road | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Adios Joe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cactus | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Congressman | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zatip | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Intrepid’s Legacy | 1.80 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Mi Tolee | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bobby’s Candy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mo Rewards | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Husband Material | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Carnivore | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Couperin | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quiet Rebel | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Code Name Brody | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | David’s Prospec | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | It’s Gravy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Maybe It’s Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Class Wizard | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Praline’s Cat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | K’s Pick | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Golden Tabby | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Defiant | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Fudge Warrior | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hazardous Humor | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Chloe | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winkiwinki | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gracie Diamond | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sagrada Ray | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jarlian | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Danny Boy | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Entrust | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Eagle | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Big Beautiful Wall | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Marisa’s Mission | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ghost of Khozan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | The Peninsula | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bold Medication | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hardy Choice | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Petit Fils (FR) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sheza Nasty Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlize Chub | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steal the Deal | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Life | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ninetyninecarats | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rapid Ruby | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.