Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Two Sharp |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Patty Brown Eyes |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Quiet Confidence |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
She’s Wicked Smart |
12.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Pink |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stellify |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Fly Right |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
2 |
Triumphant Road |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
9 |
Tiz Wicked Strong |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sham’s Pride |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Six Kings |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
1A |
8 |
Paxsational |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
10 |
Sandborn |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hurricane Express (FR) |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Forced Errors |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Marginal Cost |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
10 |
11 |
Bearings |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
12 |
Fattoush |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Costa Terra |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Costa Terra |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Power Seeker |
3.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Harlocap |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Duke of Gloucester |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Perform |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Laughing Boy |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tricky Temper |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gone and Forgotten |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Athena Beach |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Missing Fortune |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jackson’s Dixie |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bank On Anna |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
11 |
Queen Rocket |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Luna Love |
10.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
6 |
American Kestrel |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Z Train (IRE) |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
8 |
Pay the Bills (FR) |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
7 |
Exotic Cat |
30.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
10 |
Althena |
30.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1A |
5 |
Purrfect Girl |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
9 |
Fantasy Performer |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blind Speed |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
12 |
Lion’s Miracle Mo |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Classic Cara |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Harvard |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Unleash the Power |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
12 |
12 |
Ghostlyprince |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Emirates Road |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gilded Craken |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Palace View (IRE) |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Typhoon Fury |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Collect From Ike |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jhirsch |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Az U Chase Me |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flashy Alex |
50.00 |
12.9 |
24-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fair Haired Boy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Principe d’Oro |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Own the Field |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Ski Country |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Fighting Back |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Five to Two |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Foxy Cara |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Maggie T |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mysaria |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Hazel |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Carol T |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Santagata |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Fasig-tipton Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.) – Fasig-tipton Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cinderella’s Dream (GB) |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kathynmarissa |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Movin’ On Up |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dancing N Dixie |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Macanga |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Segesta |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Greenfinch |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame S.) – National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Lagynos |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Army Officer |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Buttercream Babe |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Please Advise |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Neat |
2.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crystal Quest |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zverev |
4.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Barksdale |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Geopolitics |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Granadilla |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gregorian Solo |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spirit of Esther |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gallant Greta |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Evaluation |
4.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Magic Wand |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Posse Rocks |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Blue Suede Sue |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.