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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 2, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Two Sharp 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Patty Brown Eyes 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Quiet Confidence 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 She’s Wicked Smart 12.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Lady Pink 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Stellify 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fly Right 3.50 1 2-1
1 2 Triumphant Road 10.00 1.9 4-1
8 9 Tiz Wicked Strong 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Sham’s Pride 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Six Kings 4.50 3 6-1
1A 8 Paxsational 10.00 3.1 6-1
9 10 Sandborn 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Hurricane Express (FR) 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Forced Errors 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Marginal Cost 6.00 7.5 14-1
10 11 Bearings 4.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Fattoush 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Costa Terra 0 0-1
3 3 Costa Terra 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Power Seeker 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Harlocap 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Duke of Gloucester 15.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Perform 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Laughing Boy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tricky Temper 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Gone and Forgotten 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Athena Beach 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Missing Fortune 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Jackson’s Dixie 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Bank On Anna 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 11 Queen Rocket 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Luna Love 10.00 1.6 3-1
5 6 American Kestrel 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Z Train (IRE) 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 8 Pay the Bills (FR) 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 7 Exotic Cat 30.00 2.9 6-1
9 10 Althena 30.00 3 6-1
1A 5 Purrfect Girl 4.00 5.6 11-1
8 9 Fantasy Performer 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Blind Speed 30.00 6.2 12-1
11 12 Lion’s Miracle Mo 15.00 8 15-1
4 4 Classic Cara 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Harvard 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Unleash the Power 3.00 1.6 3-1
12 12 Ghostlyprince 8.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Emirates Road 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Gilded Craken 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Palace View (IRE) 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Typhoon Fury 12.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Collect From Ike 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Jhirsch 15.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Az U Chase Me 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Flashy Alex 50.00 12.9 24-1
8 8 Fair Haired Boy 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Principe d’Oro 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Own the Field 2.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ski Country 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Fighting Back 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Five to Two 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Foxy Cara 3.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Maggie T 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Mysaria 10.00 2 4-1
4 4 Big Hazel 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Carol T 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Santagata 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Fasig-tipton Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.) – Fasig-tipton Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cinderella’s Dream (GB) 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Kathynmarissa 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Movin’ On Up 20.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Dancing N Dixie 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Macanga 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Segesta 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Greenfinch 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame S.) – National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lagynos 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Army Officer 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Buttercream Babe 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Please Advise 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Neat 2.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Crystal Quest 8.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Zverev 4.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Barksdale 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Geopolitics 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Granadilla 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Gregorian Solo 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Spirit of Esther 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Gallant Greta 12.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Evaluation 4.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 My Magic Wand 8.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Posse Rocks 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Blue Suede Sue 6.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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