Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | First Shot Fired | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parakeet (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chromotion | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ocala Rocket | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Line Astray | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dixie Preach | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Builder Jak | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Plebeian | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Milchin | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fight Til Dawn | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Treasure Flay | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uzziah | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Papeete | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dollar Liberty | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Mocha | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Down in the Valley | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Im Still Brave | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Train | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vito’s Brother | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sammy’s Samaritan | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Viva Victory | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | English Painter | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gooch Go Bragh | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honesto | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Momza | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Abernathy | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Euphoria Star | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ensign Skip | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speight’spercomete | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cajun’s Choice | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taparino | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blaze of Color | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Come Dream With Me | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adios Papa Chico | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winooski | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gentleman Caller | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Charlie Go | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cart Girl Sam | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Condora | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tator Made | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Dove Rules | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Face the Music | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warda | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Val’s Gal | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sheza Rajun Cajun | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Free to Roam | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smart Spending | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Get Pickled | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Current Situation | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Deymar | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicklow Gal | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Andie One | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sade Purse | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicca Wisdom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | St. Pat’s Day | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chloe’s Toy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gayles Evening | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Founder’s Day | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trevess | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Fantasy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kaitie Kait | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Misprint | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bedrock Birdie | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Etrurian | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fields of Green | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ride On Cupid | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Let Them Watch | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Great Venezuela | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | For Sale | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bellwether | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Plankton | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Holly | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Darling Darley | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dialithic | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oro Oro | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Mercy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Anonymous Source | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nightsaber (GB) | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Musical Journey | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D City Girl | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seekingbythestorm | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gossiper | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.