Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Chateau | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Bronx Bomber | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Writer’s Regret | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Charging Aero | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Critical Threat | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sagamore Mischief | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Graywing | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Side Eye | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frostelle | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zeca Diabo | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Letter Perfect | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speed Figures | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mums Poem | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proton Spirit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Beer Run | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Summer in Erin | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ichiban | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Toned Up | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peak Popularity | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Movie Moxy | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dreaming of Mo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sabalenka | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lady Emily Kathryn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Avenue Niel (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Aspen Grove (IRE) | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scuttlebuzz | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Jak N Burny | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daufuskie Island | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zeebear | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caldo Candy | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pompous Prince | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Key Point | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scuttlebuzz | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fortune’s Nephew | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Going for Glory | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Ariana Rye | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Liana | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Going for Glory | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mia Nipotina | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mary Union Ave | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harmonyville | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sonia’s Flame | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Mission | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Troubled Luck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Richard Ave | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McDiesel | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sky Masterson | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Iron Max | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vamonos Vamonos | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Real Savvy | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | High Water Mark | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Revivalism | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dignified Response | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rockville | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Orie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Caddiemaster | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shoot the Waves | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | On a Spree | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocco Strong | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Night | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Complete Agenda | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | St Andrews | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bar Fourteen | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grandpa’s Kid | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Debate | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Dragon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barese | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Baldizar | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Kraft | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackson Heights | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cicciobello | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cut the Cord | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Six Percent | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brew Pub | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Glens Falls S.) – Glens Falls S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McKulick (GB) | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | McKulick (GB) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eternal Hope (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chop Chop | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atomic Blonde (GER) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alpha Bella | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royalty Interest (FR) | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parnac (FR) | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamplona Red | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Bomb Squad | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Lao | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dance On Air | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pamplona Red | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Justheart | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wine At Midnight | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Malibu’s Dynamite | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hayes Bay | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Welcome Back Babe | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Reya | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Coach Sessa | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Savannah Dancer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lil’ Hayadoin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Starlight Dancer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Duchessofnormandy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.