Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Jonathan Kiser Memorial Novice S.) – Jonathan Kiser Memorial Novice S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cibolian | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Path | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clara Belle | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hold Hard (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiyomori | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zarak the Brave (FR) | 1.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lightning Rod | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tuddenham Green (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lucency | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Squire Creek | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Chief | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Night Effect | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Certified Loverboy | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sin Nombre | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steady Progress | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Irish Tenor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bustino Santino | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Egyptian Quest | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spoofy | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Braca | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dunedin Causeway | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Commish | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Force | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Spoken Bluntly | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jaa Mode | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toscano | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Larry | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bob John Ray | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boys Code | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Provision | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leftembehind | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hagrid’s Flame | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slightly Busy | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Slightly Busy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jackpot Julie | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Serious Lady | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ada May | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Playful Lass | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cara’s Dreamweaver | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mangetsu | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Carae | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Grace and Grit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Marvelous Madison | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | National Archive | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Episode | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bisa | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Vanilla | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Katerina Ristova | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Linda’s Jewel | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divorced of Course | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mascara | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Melle Mel | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mean Eileen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Annie Goodbody | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Graceful Warrior | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | The Sugars | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Interpatation | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ram | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Captain | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Gentleman | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Knows | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Proven Hope | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hatch | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Khozy My Boy | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince James | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goldini | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nottoway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (De La Rose S.) – De La Rose S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Be My Sunshine | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Lou Ann | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Fudge | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Poca Mucha | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Evvie Jets | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mouffy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Spirit And Glory (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Mile (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Five Towns (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Immensitude (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dark Devil | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Ambition | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Always Be Smart | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Salacious | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Houlton | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stately Order | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Road | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glint | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Confabulation | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.