Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Skylar’s Brother | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cattivo Ragazzo | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boyd’s Band | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Liberty Belle | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Overspent | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Pass Time | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stylish Anna | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Win Dixie Ronnie | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Survival Rose | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nami | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Lancer | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No More Diamonds | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dune Jumper | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Berra | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | All Hail Mo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Precious Avary | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Source (GB) | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Downtown Katie | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiki Bar | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Boardwalk Fries | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joy and Prosperity | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liffey | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heron Bay | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blonde Samaritan | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Memphis Showboat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Carroll Girl | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Divine Grace | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Uptown Miss | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exhale | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lino and Me | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rose’s Wish | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Effort | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Xochil | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Mia | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet and Feisty | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Mavis | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Romance by Chance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sal’s Blue Jacket | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Big Green | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Well Into | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Boogie | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bramble Bay | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Therearenorules | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Javoncia | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ragtime Belle | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Thoughts | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peyton Elizabeth | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Spikezone | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jackman | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Ron | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Synthesis | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Synchronicity | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Quint | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Berrier | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Capture the Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smithwick’s Spice | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Riccio | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coronova | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grouch | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mission Man | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | April Fools Andy | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | The Colora Kid | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Meet Me At Mundis | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Alwaysinahurry | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Vance Scholars | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bestsugardaddyever | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dalinar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wesley Thomas | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Had Enough | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Russian Hammer | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Tone C | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let It Rideness | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Walk Inthe Park | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Rozzo | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Net Worth | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devine Flameaway | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.