Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Tina Tina Tina |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Argentina Girl |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
G’s Fireball |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Closertotheheart |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Harper Be Good |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Baby Sox |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Determined Blue |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Blind Eye |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Longworth |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fouroneohsmokeshow |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Burroughs Cay |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Elfuegomasbrilante |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mo Lucky |
2.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Little Cagefighter |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Perfect Peace |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Heart of Fire |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tabloid City |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
13 |
13 |
Is It Five |
30.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
14 |
14 |
Better Watch It |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
15 |
15 |
Fire and Knives |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
If I Were You |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Burn Rubber |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Cesnola |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Fun Lovin Criminal |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Goodafternoonoscar |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Uncle Cat |
1.80 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brother Brad |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
King’s River |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Toast to Coast |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rocky Dice |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Concern S.) – Concern S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
El Capi |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Play Harder |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sunny Breeze |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Celtic Contender |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Willy D’s |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Barksdale |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Canoodle |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Irish Lace |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mysisternancy |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Coal Mine |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Talia |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Water Witch |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mit Mazel |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Preparefortakeoff |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Mackillop |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
St. John’s |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Swore |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Missionaire |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stellar Lute |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Always Gambling |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bean Machine |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bolt From Above |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Prince Khozan |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Between the Covers |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Dr. Hyde |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Into It |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Cataleya Strike |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Alma North S.) – Alma North S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Apple Picker |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ms. Bucchero |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Joke Sisi (CHI) |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Charriere |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Happy Clouds |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sweet Alyssa |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bella Bettina |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Deco Strong |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Talk to the Judge |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Late Frost |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Deputed Testamony S.) – Deputed Testamony S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Frosted Departure |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Time for Trouble |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Auto Glide |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ain’t Da Beer Cold |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Be Better |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Shaft’s Bullet |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash S.) – Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Gordian Knot |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dean Delivers |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Prince of Jericho |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sibelius |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Seven’s Eleven |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Little Vic |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Five Dreams |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Alwaysinahurry |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Awesome Aaron |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Twisted Ride |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
A B C Ya |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Coronation Time |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Under the Overpass |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bajan Boy |
1.40 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Right Quick |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sometimes I Do |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Minimo |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.