Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Winchester | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mat Matters | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Saturday | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gambe Forte | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Park View | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gallant Creek | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hawk Mountain | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bythenumbers | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Solving Progress | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Macho Mrytle | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tooshay | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amorica | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Search | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swans Island | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lou’s Birthday | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sacred Thunder | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Surfside Moon | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Cookie | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gun Trader | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marchin Into April | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dude Affright | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Remember Me | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ayeartoremember | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whats Goin On | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Survival Rose | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Macchina Rossa | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gwynedd | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blome | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tuff Luck | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liam’s the Great | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quahog Republic | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soleil Volant | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crabcakes N Beer | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luca Machine | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notmyfirstrodeo | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kitten’s Ploy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Authentic Kingdom | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Patrick’s Promise | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Arctic Outbreak | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flashndynamite | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doctor Abbie | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kiss Me Hardy | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | West Side Girl | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honor the Truth | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brown Suga Babe | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Principia | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Intrepid Dream | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Beauty | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Thoughts | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bound by Destiny | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Tell Kelly | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Fireball | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Princess Javoncia | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Glossamer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Downtown Katie | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Peace Out | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rowsie Express | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blaze On | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Louise Brooks | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Bourbon Baby | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fia First | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Annieworkstoomuch | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bolt | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Final Note | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | City Kiss | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chells Girl | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Verina | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apple Saucy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.