Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Empowered |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Holy Storm |
1.80 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Katch This Eagle |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jess an American |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Behold a Dynasty |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
All Du Respect |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lucky Wagon |
3.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Esterbell Shagnasty |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Painted Beauty |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Harrington |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Wgslightwilliegirlup |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Lovepotionumber 9 |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sm Southard Cowboy |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Naughty Politics |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bv She Can Fly |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bootleggers Candy |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Legacys Favorite |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Willy |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Skalkaho |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rockin Boots |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cinco de Mo |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Killian |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Strollntothemarket |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Strollin Norman B |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Desert Gal |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Breathtaking Folly |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
S C Skylars Empire |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aztec Empress |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Be My Huckleberry |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beth’swickedsmack |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mahomes |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Justice Once |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Warrior’s Run |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Day Money |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Munnycantbuymelove |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Riding the Train |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Don’t Fly Stand By |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maverama |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
F B I Bob |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Don’t Fly Stand By |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Draw Your Bow |
10.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
War Echo |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
King of Swing |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Keen Cat |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Texthelegend |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Inca Empire |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dinner At Crumpies |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
You’reinthearmynow |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Roman Giant |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Our Cornerstone |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Our Last Chance |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tripulante |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Peace Dog |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Diamond City |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Comiskey Park |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Stroll |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Garbo Speaks |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hard Spirits |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Confetti Betty |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Natusia |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Anchors and Spurs |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Climb to Glory |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.