Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (A. P. Smithwick Memorial H.) – A. P. Smithwick Memorial H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Abaan | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pickanumber (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Going Country (IRE) | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | West Newton (GB) | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | L’Imperator (FR) | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freddy Flintshire | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ziggle Pops (GB) | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Yo Puedo | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enigmatic | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Music | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thorny | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Graceful Rose | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broughty Ferry | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Vita Sofia | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Okaloosa | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Musical Maestro | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Korrongo | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Java Buzz | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sandrone | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal King | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kreesa | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buckortwo | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Better Luck | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pallino | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Xcellent Men | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aaraj | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Devil in Disguise | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jitterbug | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ms Sedona | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Past Tense | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mission of Hope | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Autumn’s Turn | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sicilian Princess | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Addressable Market (IRE) | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sun Kissed Soiree | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Festival | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Shuvee S.) – Shuvee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Raging Sea | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shotgun Hottie | 1.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Venti Valentine | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misty Veil | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Katherine | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Briterdayzahead | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Warrior Richard | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Whenlovetakesover | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Playingwithmatches | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Anthracite | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stop the Spread | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Midnight Worker | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Fighting Back | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aristella | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thunder Princess | 30.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Panache | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild and Free | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Virgin Colada | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Running Away | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Smile | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rare Art | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Yesterday | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ready to Battle | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Magenta | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 16 | Pointsetmatch | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bossy Dish | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Ravenite | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Reining Flowers | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Nanananabooboo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Roagna | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Czech | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boxed Wine | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Firsttimeinforever | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lakeside Getaway | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Busy Morning | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Artemis Girl | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Starts Now | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Connect | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bunny Honey | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Downtown Channel | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Poseidon’s Mist | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Chasing Daylight | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lady of Thoroton | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Starry Midnight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Midnight Concerto | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Black Dog | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Salted | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laughing Lady | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trading Secrets | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Cappuccino | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss Me Slow | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spun Candy | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Immersive | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Il Suo Oro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Black Rain | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rocketeer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brigade Commander | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Unity | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moore’s Law | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grandpa’s Kid | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D Day Sky | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paddington | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Liar’s Poker | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Born Dancer | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bettrluckythangood | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hush of a Storm | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neural Network | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Go Big Blue | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rough Draft | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Locke and Key | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Union Trail | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bar Fourteen | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreampoint | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sell Something | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Maxwell Esquire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Barese | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shadow Dragon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.