Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Baby Madeleine |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chipotle Pepper |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fedorova |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tentomidnight |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Alpha Gamma Girl |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kikitsa |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shootin’ Amy |
2.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Noahs Ark |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rebelious |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Munnings Model |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quiet Sunday |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Proud Ronin |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hatmaker Gizmo |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shamateur |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Beautiful Crazy |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Salt |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mobula |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
One More Doll |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Scat Girl |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Can’t Buy Class |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Miss Mitole |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Princess of Storm |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Baytown Storm |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Too Much Talk |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Royal Hudson |
12.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Developing the Way |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Penner Ash (IRE) |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Jay Bird |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Enchant Me |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sir Samuel |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Just Start Me Up |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Forest Star |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tourist’s Dream |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Four K Force |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Dream On Baby |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Our Lady Peace |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
North York |
12.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Keytothepark |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Starry Night |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ready for Candy |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Snatched |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Baytown Shinjuku |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Yorkton Rose |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shotgun Wedding |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mikelle |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Plate Trial S.) – Plate Trial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
My Boy Prince |
0.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jokestar |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
No More Options |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Friendly Ghost |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Beautiful Sky |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Piper’s Factor |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rafaroo |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Trillium S. Presented By Don Julio) – Trillium S. Presented By Don Julio
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Fashionably Fab |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ocean Club |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ro Town |
15.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tito’s Calling |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Solo Album |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Forever Dixie |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Batucada |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Five Towns (GB) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bet365 Connaught Cup S.) – Bet365 Connaught Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Flag Of Honour (AUS) |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
War Bomber (IRE) |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cruden Bay |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
First Empire |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ironstone |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Saratoga Flash |
3.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Capture the Lion |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Not Normal |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Woodbine Oaks Presented By Stella Artois) – Woodbine Oaks Presented By Stella Artois
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Kin’s Concerto |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lookin to Conquer |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Holiday in Jail |
30.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Girl Della |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
War Painter |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vucchella |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hurricane Clair |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Inudation |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
A Little Frisky |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Caitlinhergrtness |
3.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bravo Kate |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
14 |
14 |
Shamans Girl |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ba Dee Yah |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
13 |
13 |
Lunch With Bernie |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
15 |
15 |
Beautiful Sky |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Hot Cargo |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Alliston |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Veery |
10.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ready to Jam |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flowers ‘n Berries |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Sassy Melissa |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Baytown Lovely |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Livin On Luv |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Michele M. |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Souper Pecan |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Chromeplated Heart |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Red Samurai |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Houlihan |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Work It Baby |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whiskey N Ice |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
No Layups |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Something Borrowed |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Iron Pyrite |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scat Humor |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spectacular Force |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
13 |
13 |
Yousangtome |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Maiken the Viking |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Red Mood |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Playfully Frac’in |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
14 |
14 |
Crimson Nights |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
World Showcase |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.