Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Helicity | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucas’s Mischief | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Without Caution | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Academy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hands of Time | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Profound | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Papiamento | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | English Law | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nudge | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Simulate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Clever Again | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Seattle Road | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Running Away | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | What Me Worry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Insubordination (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | It Takes Heart | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Self Isolation | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Everlys Girl | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My First Love | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Carbon | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reigning Chick | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Starship Defiant | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | He Has It All | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Puck | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Outtawaterbury | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nano Man | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clancy Fancy | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fratellino | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mazzei | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Call Bob | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Silver Satin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bad Larry | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | On the Hill | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boss Tweed | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yo Banana Boy | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Buck Freddy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wine Responsibly | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Freedsdale | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Safalow’s Mission | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Midnight Express | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vin Santo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | G Munning | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bonne Chance | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Assertive Attitude | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Bobby the Tank | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Solo in Paris | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Independent Paul | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Xcellent Men | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Parola Sicura | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reconcile | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reflexivity (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Masterof the Tunes | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Rocket | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Riley Jean | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Union Dolly | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Girls Weekend | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | St. Benedicts Prep | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Majestic Return | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Jackson’s Dixie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Low Society | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cooper | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Authentic Gallop | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Track Ranger | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Force | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dapper Moon | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Filoso | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Incentive Pay | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ranger Battalion | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Social Hour | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Be Real | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Federal Judge | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deer District | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gun It | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Arro Smash | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alternate Reality | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Full Screen | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Costa Terra | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Trouble | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 98 | Principe Carlo | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Steady On | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Major Dude | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Pioneering Spirit | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Atone | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Harlan Estate | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cash Equity (FR) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Andthewinneris | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Belouni (FR) | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Sheriff Bianco | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cooke Creek | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Signator | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Lake George S.) – Lake George S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manama Gold | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Rebecca | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oversubscribed (GB) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pounce | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vive Veuve | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gala Brand | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | De Regreso | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magic Cross | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lemon Muffin | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Manama Gold | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gavea (GER) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | In Our Time | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Golden Degree | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Goa (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Coaching Club American Oaks) – Coaching Club American Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thorpedo Anna | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candied | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Intricate | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leslie’s Rose | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barbratina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Rezeen | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | Artempus | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Factor Analysis | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Jackal | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | El Rezeen | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | De La Cruz | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Caesar’s Ghost | 50.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vintage Vino | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Four Top | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bourbon Outlaw | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thielen | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Il Siciliano | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Glint | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Take Your Seats (IRE) | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.