Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Magical Monarch | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Lance | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Energy Efficient | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malinois | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eddie Felson | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Master of None | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Langlee Avenue | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kadri | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Is a Pal | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charmed (GB) | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speak Unity | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Now | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monster Mason | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valiant Vinny | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Society Ball | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midsummers Eve | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bossyness | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dazzy | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viennese Waltz | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Girl | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Can Do It | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thataway | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crossland | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blame the Tux | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Benny Havens | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Tick Tock | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sneaking Suspicion | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quincannon | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jardani | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mit Mazel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No More Mask | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Discount | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Heidelberg | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sapphire Beauty | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kelly’s Party Girl | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Time Vixen | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bravo Zulu | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Summerinthecountry | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Dude | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nola Boss | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Bit Risky | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reggie Runs Rogue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rocket Science | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Casey N Pap | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Barbadian Runner | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brewmaster | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Naval Empire | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Esperannna | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angel Art | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Determined Sail | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atlas Strong | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oncourtcommentator | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catch the Kitten | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Congress Hall | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Kitten’s Appeal | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deeds of Love | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Royal Whisper | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goodnightngodbless | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Wildcat | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | I’m Gittin There | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Beneath the Stars | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Paddock Pastor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Longbranch Lou | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Italian Symphony | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hanksdiviningrod | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | General’s Duty | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Always Fun | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mario’s On Point | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Without Pretence | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.