Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Strega | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormcast | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zisisit (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arriviste | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Literate | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Moonshine | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Thefrontiersman | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Night Striker | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Shooter | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gentle Persuasion | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Speedy Bulleit | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Iconic | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Blondina’s Boy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dubawi Bull | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Entry | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catholic Jackie | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Connor | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Victoria S.) – Victoria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Your Valentino | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sol de Verano | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mensa | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empower | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Into Diamonds | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shadow Factor | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Never Surprised | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taranto Titan | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onenightstandards | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ron’s Gizmo | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancin in Da’nile | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | British Royalty | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Kiss | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grandson | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twowaycrossing | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scorching | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Groot | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cut the Dust | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Realm | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lasting Silence | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Admiral Nelson | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carnew | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dialing Aragorn | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Myra’s Boy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dare to Be King | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chasing Trouble | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Best in Class | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Point | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Row | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monday Morning | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stretch Pass | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lost Star | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fighting Irish | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pierre | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | McAvoy | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spinzar | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Charlie | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roscar | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fanore (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bail Us Out | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hawkesbury | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Exude | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Legal Catch | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Swift Delivery | 2.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kaukokaipuu | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Expressman | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dun Drum | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luckman | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | South Bend | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Day Tripper | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stone Age (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Bit Gangsta | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Public Sector (GB) | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Twin City | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Adversity | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bedard | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bowman’s Run | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Rosso | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vitality | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Mo | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Thor’s Cause | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Street | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rideau Hall | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One Last Kiss | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wyoming Bill | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Saint Templar | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.