Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor Sam | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Dew | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Governor Sam | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Evidence | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | After Taxes (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ky Anansi | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Test Score | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Be Real | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gene and Jude | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | America’s Honor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wings Like Eagles | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It’s Hot in Here (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Backstretch Rose | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | From Hello | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Eight Ball | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dea Matrona (FR) | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unicorn Cake | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alley’s Song | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alette d’Oro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Blenheim Baby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Curlin S.) – Curlin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unmatched Wisdom | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corporate Power | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Timeout | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elephants Ear | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Django | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catire Vizcaya | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Commandperformance | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | First Glimpse | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yono | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Skylander | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cheeky Tico | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Majestic Frontier | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Six Percent | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Optic Way | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Co Conspirator | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocco Strong | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Positive Carry (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Capo Donna | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Our Finest Hour (FR) | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Classy Mischief | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Not Guilty | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ori | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Maturity Date | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Redo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Day Away | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Troubled Luck | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Big Beautiful (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Toner | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Colton | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Under Who’s Radar | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salt Spartan | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Three B’s | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joker On Fire | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rocked Out | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Burning Munny | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Monte Avi | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Warrior | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brink | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dominican Thunder | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Shakeitforthebird | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chateau | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Forest | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | High Heat | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Critical Threat | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ribbons and Medals | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Notable Bob (CHI) | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorary Degree | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Gentleman | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Super Chief | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roswell | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Sam’s Treasure | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roswell | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wailua | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Madison | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Do Gooder | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Broderie | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Risk Free | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tricky Temper | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cara’s Time | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Vino Rouge | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Root Cause | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Child of the Moon (FR) | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Determined Lilly | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Any Port | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Anileate | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | More Mango | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lady Firefoot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Bon Adieu | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Belle of the Ball | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Take Shape | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Epic Miss Justice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Audacious | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 12 | Golden Degree | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aunt Yola | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Geopolitics | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heart of the Night | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starsinthecity | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ariana Rye | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Splashy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aunt Yola | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cerretta | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Better Be Smart | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barefoot Disco | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lil’ Hayadoin | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Fiere | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Russalite | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Posse Rocks | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Nikki Brainburst | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Good Mission | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Beautiful Thief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.