Site icon Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 18, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Freedom Stance 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Just for the Money 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Whizbang 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Bangkok Bob 2.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Let’s Have a Party 4.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Baby Antonio 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Bobby Rocky Jake 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kick Startness 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sidney’s Bid 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Last Second Louie 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Rudy Rudy Rudy 3.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Thename of Thegame 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Grumpy Brooksie 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 That Magic Moment 8.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Sette Stelle 15.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Sheltrfromthestorm 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Arijana’s Pearl 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gate Song 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Something Wicked 3.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Dramatic Effect 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Redfire 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Champlain’s Dream 6.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Purring 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Urban Star 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 For Arrogate 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Star Anise 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lady Meis (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 He’s Incredible 1.50 1 2-1
6 6 He’s in Charge 5.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Inter Miami 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Desert Ruler 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Starstreet 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Grand Valley 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Gran Runner 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Discreet Devil 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Melt With You 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Zevon 4.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Half a League 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Final Opportunity 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Big Andy Mort 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Coinin 12.00 6.7 13-1
13 13 Win and Be Happy 12.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Inbound 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bali Riddim 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pietrelcina 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Downpatrick 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Change Your Name 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Time Tested 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 St Pete’s Passion 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Silver Style 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Willow Creek Road 8.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Got Thunder 1.80 2.5 5-1
4 4 Autumns Strong Man 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Dark Timber 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Baltasar 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Praline’s Cat 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Court Contender 1.50 1.9 4-1
12 12 Couperin 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Brother Showtyme 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 The Colora Kid 15.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Quiet Rebel 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Code Name Brody 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Ninth of April 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 David’s Prospec 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Splendid Summer 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Maybe It’s Time 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Sustenance 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 K’s Pick 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lucky in Love 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sippin’ Time 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Her Lucky Lotto 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Lil Jersey Girl 3.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Ladida 4.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Short Ship 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Estrellis 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Twisty River 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Reece’s Drama 10.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version