Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Competitive Touch | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Road to Versailles | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wet and Wild | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coherence | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Cop | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pontiac | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thefrontiersman | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Night Striker | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speedy Bulleit | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Entry | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dubawi Bull | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blondina’s Boy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Iconic | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catholic Jackie | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gentle Persuasion | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Connor | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The New Maybe | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chasing Trouble | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dare to Be King | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monday Morning | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Row | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Best in Class | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Point | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lost Star | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fighting Irish | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Strega | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormcast | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zisisit (IRE) | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Hay Paula | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diosa Catrina | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arriviste | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Moonshine | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Literate | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Admiral Nelson | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dialing Aragorn | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Groot | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cut the Dust | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Realm | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Scorching | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coolcollected | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charted Map | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lasting Silence | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gotme Good | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carnew | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Never Surprised | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dancin in Da’nile | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Public Sector (GB) | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Day Tripper | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaukokaipuu | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | South Bend | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luckman | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dun Drum | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grandson | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | McAvoy | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pierre | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fanore (IRE) | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spinzar | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exude | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roscar | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Runaway Charlie | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swift Delivery | 2.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legal Catch | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bail Us Out | 4.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hawkesbury | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Victoria S.) – Victoria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mensa | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Your Valentino | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Into Diamonds | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sol de Verano | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shadow Factor | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empower | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Onenightstandards | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stone Age (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ron’s Gizmo | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taranto Titan | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twowaycrossing | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Expressman | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | British Royalty | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Kiss | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last Dawn | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Bit Gangsta | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Bowman’s Run | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Myra’s Boy | 12.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bedard | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Rosso | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vitality | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Adversity | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tutti Contenti | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | American Decision | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thor’s Cause | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Midnight Mo | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Derby Street | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rideau Hall | 4.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Rafaroo | 4.50 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wyoming Bill | 10.00 | 15.7 | 30-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stretch Pass | 20.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Saint Templar | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.