Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimchi Cat | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Silver Circle | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Cara | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kimchi Cat | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bossy Pants | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elemiah | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Going Steady | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Practical Lov | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Gamer | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tivy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rider’s Special | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Blown Cover | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Screaming Uncle | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magnificent Mile | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon’s Hope | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Independent Paul | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dads Good Runner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Your Man Alex | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Filigree | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Russi | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Banker | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Final Denile | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Allied Attack | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two’s a Crowd | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friday I’m in Love | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cashel Kitten | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Limit Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Launch Control | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Collected Special | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Boss Tweed | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Mighty Madison | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Signal From Noise | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Backyard Money | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Starship Defiant | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 6 | My Kentucky Girl | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Mosienko | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into Happiness | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Protective | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Military Road | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elko County | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Itza Mirrakle | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Haizum | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trulli Warrior | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salacious | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | La Salvadorena | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strife | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Latte Lizzie | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Appellate | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Deep Satin | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunday Tiff | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Out too Late (GB) | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coif | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pisciotta (GB) | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Montego Bay | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Hollywood Dream | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Hebrides | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Goodnight My Angel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mondego (GB) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Six Minus | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daunt | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Truly Quality | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battle of Normandy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Relampago Verde | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crabs N Beer | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lincoln Hawk (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Curlin | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bay Street Money | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gilded Age | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | California Frolic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cyber Ninja | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prove Worthy | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magia Nera | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ski Country | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thank You Jon | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Joker | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Street Swagg | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unstable Prince | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | South Street | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stop the Spread | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Philharmonic | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Warrior Richard | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Quick Call S. Presented By The Thoroughbred Retirement Foundation) – Quick Call S. Presented By The Thoroughbred Retirement Foundation
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fandom (GB) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mansa Musa (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Nay Mets (IRE) | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Star of Mystery (GB) | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Set | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smokey Smokey | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Rascal | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Works for Me | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Feltrinelli | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Baraye | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Apollo Ten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Big Star | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Write Off Jerry | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beary Funny | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barnstorming | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Maquina | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Downing Street | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Billy’s Got Issues | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Value Engineer | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Vince the Prince | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Your Mission | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eric From Miami | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | October Bliss | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pricing Power | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Noble Huntsman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Masterwork | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | St. Joe Louis (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.