Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | This Dude a Breeze | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Rapport | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alberta Be Mine | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormin Dave | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lobby Bar | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yorkville | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Confusing | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Always a Way | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Absolute Chairman | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bill Needle | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bar Talk | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cantucci | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Serenade | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Bourbon | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | This Katz for Real | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday in Chile | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie’s Flatter | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden Wind | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wetiko | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sing Dixie | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tipsy Fox | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Johnny Gold | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cheap Speed | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Pistol | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Left in My Dust | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tonto | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Four Aces High | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Long Pond | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salvator Mundi | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victory March | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Arkle | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Max | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Souper River | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magic Tomahawk | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Courageous Copper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pet Sounds | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | So Called Vacation | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Popweiser | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Buck’s Fizz | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Shot | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ontario Holiday | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | North Warden | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Swervin Mervyn | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Java Power | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Vida | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arrakasta Izan | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Steak and Cheese | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Knight | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Palio | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proven Strategies | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Whisper | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | C My Meister | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Sea | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Avoman | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Rose for Raven | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Souped Up | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dresden Row | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Watson | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Crime | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maakwa | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m A Gambler (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Red River Rebel | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rapid Test | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Tempesta | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maticulant | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jack | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forest Flash | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boston Bay | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lonhro’s Gamble | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Paradise Perfect | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Squeezethesharman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Oh Peanuts | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fascination Street | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Play the Dots | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tropical Getaway | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.