Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nature Trail | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nature’s Candy | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mosey | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Southampton Dock | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Gal | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fullmoonmagic | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Payout Ratio (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Little Red | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pleasant Dreams | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Neon City | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Keep It Sexy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Battalia | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nurse Caralyn | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled Sass | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Universal Design | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wine Goddess | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Onthisharvestmoon | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweetest Moment | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Incomparable | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lil’ Late Luck | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steal the Deal | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mollewantacracker | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Temptation | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bruno Barber Girl | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Only Girl | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quick Return | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liberty Star | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jova | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jebologist | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Devils Child | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Up Against It | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dixie’s Two Stents | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Maxim Moment | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Water Flow | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runyonesque | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chip’s Friend | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doctor Doom | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Runnin Joke | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Predominate | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imagine This | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Wicked | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Milano | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ninja Prize | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fuego Sos | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Party At Sam’s | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Sandman | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bronx Boys | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Linus | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bartlett | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swing Oil | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | T’was the Night | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Paradise Valley | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talkin Pharoah | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keeping It Country | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dylan’s Ruby | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Roundtree | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Respirator | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capital Conquest | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miss New York | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Talk to the Judge | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Disco Ebo | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Creed | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foggy Night | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss New York | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Poppy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Early Edition | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Bon Bay | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | New Hire | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Elevated Game | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Capo | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Card Trick | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nantasket Beach | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seven Bridges Road | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Than Work | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Retweet | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | T Rex | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jarlian | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Supreme Being | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.