Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Piper’s Causeway | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunrise Journey | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Diablo Rojo | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect D | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slew’s Joy | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vicente’s Shadow | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Johnny Drama | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crypto Craze | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mobe Town | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Erebus | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kimmer | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smokem Ez | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lansdowne (GB) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | See Through It | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Top Gun Tommy | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mike Operator | 10.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stop and a Tres | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cross Examine | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whoa Buddy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tapit Doux | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Your Coil | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lovely Colleen | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Joannie | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warren’s Show Bizz | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Chiquis | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Family Trips | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shvere Arbeter | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Infamous Angel | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pax a Punch | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Binging | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run for Kidder | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valentines Candy | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shea Brennan | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Irish Legacy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Master Jacques | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Blaze | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girlcanthelpit | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ebok’s Dream Girl | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In Your Life | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Discrepancy | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tikvah | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreaming of Hope | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In Without Knockin | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | September Magic | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Takamakahara | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Cabo Express | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kissmeyoufool | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Uplift | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Datsyuk | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devilnthebluegras | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toots Tookarookin | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mischievous Dylan | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Frost | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paislees Promise | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Vilified | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ignatowski | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lisa’s Doctor S | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chirag | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Indian Arrow | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Churchmeister | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Power Trip | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Natural Cat | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nice Boots | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Appreciate Today | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 98 | War On the West | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Disobey | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In Vronsky Style | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beer Money | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Where’s the Loot | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | So I’m Told | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spiritual Advisor | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wegonahavagoodtime | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Haywood | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Prince Prancealot | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | L’Enfant Dit | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rhino | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Wine and Whisky | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Bronko Nagurski | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.