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Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 6, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gypsy Lynn 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Indy’s Star 1.80 1.4 3-1
3 3 Aloha Kitten 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Dramatizer 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Soul Sweet 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Solid Tune 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Big Cheddar 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Fast Per Se 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Being Blessed 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Stay in the Game 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Paul Vincents Poem 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Echo Alpha Six 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Abadon 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Trouble N Paradise 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Ms Parkside 20.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Chollima 4.00 5 9-1
1 1 Island Life 3.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Dallas Alice 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Trojan Way 5.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Dance Kid 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Res Ipsa Loquitur 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Ferociously 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Smarty Nose 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Drumadoon 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Donttestyourluck 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Fordy G 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Anyotherquestions 20.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Acceleray 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sky Cloud 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Constant Conflict 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Des Doigts 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 The Big Cheeseola 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Winning Big 15.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Pop d’Oro 3.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Do It for Dave 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Letshaveonemore 15.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Leading the Pace 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Just a Little Luck 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Bella Renella 3.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Smart Kitten 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Bonita Leona 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 True Friend 20.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Roman Empress 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Awesome Taylor 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Soul of a Warrior 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Well Spoken Lady 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 I Have a Dream 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Gracie’s Big Day 8.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Thirsty Destiny 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Lil’ Boom Boom 4.50 5.9 11-1
5 5 Buds N Suds 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Godavri 12.00 8 15-1
9 9 Gobernadora Ely 20.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 On Time Tam 4.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Nostri Vires 3.50 9.6 18-1
8 8 Amelia’s Echo 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Uncontrollable 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 No Cap 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Quantum Innergy 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 She’s a Joker 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Shes Just Fluffy 8.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Flymetothemoonbaby 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Ryder’s Candy 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Act of Serendipity 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Blackjack Betty 50.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Sharp Ride 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Great Lady M S.) – Great Lady M S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sweet Azteca 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Super Shine (ARG) 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Chismosa 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Daddysruby 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Anywho 12.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Three Witches 2.50 5.8 11-1
7 7 Olivia Twist 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Yuki (CHI) 20.00 9 17-1
10 10 Getthemoney 12.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Irish Wahine 30.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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