Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alpha Blue | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moral Agency | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gowokegobroke | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cucuy | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seven Anniversary | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jake’s Affection | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vinicio | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bullet Blues | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jades Jay | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Insolent | 8.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamic Empire | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Win N Your In | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bee a Queen | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Mary Nell | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whodoyoulikehere | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neodera | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | U Bet Jo’s Praying | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mind Shift Game | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | American Speed | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncaptured Boy | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Victory | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sigrun Fast Boy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Husband Material | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Doorman | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Beast | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smart Spending | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crystal Coast | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boston Princess | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She Fled the Scene | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicca Wisdom | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good Bright Flames | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Rose | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Streaking Grey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Velocissima | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Goats On a Tree | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She Takes Cash | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady O’Brien | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Amore | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rotondo | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Ballad | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Post Facto | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gooch Go Bragh | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forwardly | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Pure | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz a Prince | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Abernathy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eric the Salesman | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Papa Katz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Bucksalot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fiveeyesonskystars | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anchises | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Park | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cadron Settlement | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valued Cajun | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Son of a Slew | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jamaica Redd | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urban Legend | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Test Factor | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reef Runner | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Effect | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Urban Legend | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Esperon | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guaicaipuro | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Breezer | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Smile Sprint S.) – Smile Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Swirvin | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sibelius | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Octane | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Run Classic | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Loco Abarrio | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Comedy Town | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legacy Isle | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ocala Rocket | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Muntaliq | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Builder Jak | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Milchin | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chromotion | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yasur | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blazing Tyreek | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Treasure Flay | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun’s Choice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Intolerable | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | First Shot Fired | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.