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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chancel 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 River of Babylon 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Swath 2.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Dragon’s Brew 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Super Headline 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Robitaille 6.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Sunspear 12.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Endless Sunset 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ashuka 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Rock It Red 8.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Manetka 1.80 2.7 5-1
7 7 Haahee 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Canadian Daddy 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Chief Lionhart 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Eat Food Everyday 10.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Stolzer Onkel 20.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Sailingtheislands 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Shooter 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Imperial Star 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Sugar It’s Eli 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Gold Bonanza 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Restoring Order 3.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Beer Mosa 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Indy Cowboy 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Coprolite 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Desrochers 8.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Highland Rocky 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Echo With Laughter 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kid Forester 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Jamiesta 4.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Hell Bent 15.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Native Prince 10.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Lenny K 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Decimator 8.00 8 15-1
8 8 Timeskip 6.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Stylish Gent 12.00 9 17-1
3 3 Coleyville 4.00 9.8 18-1
11 11 Highland Society 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forest Drift 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Loopy 4.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Flowers ‘n Berries 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Anam Cara 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Bridge to Nowhere 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Hello Friends 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Peach Cobbler 2.50 5.9 11-1
4 4 Sassy Melissa 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Unstable Storm 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Lumberyard 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Glorious Revenge 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Forest Woodsman 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Yoddha 8.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Daddy Send Money 4.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Profesorridesagain 20.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Uncle’s the Banker 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 C C’s Kingdom 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Bachelor Pad 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Peja Du 3.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Embrace My Uncle 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Infamous Covert 8.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Fast Boat to Skye 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Sunrise Drive 15.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Nonno’s Little Boy 20.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Mannix (IRE) 10.00 9.1 17-1
8 8 Society Joe 20.00 10.1 19-1
11 11 Argentium 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Quiet Knight 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Fracen Macho 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Diomedes 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Legs Like Gizmo 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Jaggersgotagun 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Clive Cross 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Fast Friends 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Aurelian Flame 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Hello Ladies 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Sir Tibbs 20.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Focusyn 20.00 9.8 18-1
11 11 Captive Silence 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Its Time to Shine 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 True Shot 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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