Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Swift Harmony |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Little Dumpling |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Long Legged Babs |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dyin a Thirst |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Ella Rae |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Faithful Truth |
4.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Promise Me Kat |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Westport Captain |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Frost Alert |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Syntactic |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fireman Dan |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Moesahandful |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jack Kerouac |
2.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Una Palabra |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Warrior Lady |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dendera |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Run for My Honey |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Love Our Family |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
De Joria |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
English Danger |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
One Strong Cat |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Barsini Red |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spot D’ Oro |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Next Trick |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Getemdusty |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Notch |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kimberly’s Devil |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Dapitan Star |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Another Summer |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nicely Curved |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Cruiser |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sent by Angels |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smooth as Butter |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cy’s Silkstocking |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
High Flying Gracie |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Amelia Bleu |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Judicious |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Veronica’s Gem |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Uffda |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Muteki |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Irish Rose |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wimberly |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bad Cardinal |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Philippa |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Red Cross Knight |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jack Sixpack |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Reckless Spirit |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Hat Willie |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mackinnon |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shortman |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sketchy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Golden River |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
War Swift |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dance Man |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Remi Or Not |
12.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Finners Goldnsense |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Last Call Paul |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flying Blind |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chispa Roja |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Stephortless |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.