Site icon Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shape Note 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hammer 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Katie’s Notion 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Freestanding 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Boss Man J J 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 David’s Prospec 30.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Claudee Boy 10.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Meliponini Bee 6.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Rapper Zapper 15.00 7 13-1
8 8 Tall Order 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Casino Tricks 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pudd’n N Pie 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Maddie Ten 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Beatiful Karla 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Prize Debate 3.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Peppermint Class 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Storm Rate 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Magic in the Park 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dead Sexy 2.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Jet Spin 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Steam Knot 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Heavenly Ciella 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Margaret P 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Saint Devereaux 4.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Diamond Sue 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zoomer 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Morning Thoughts 6.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Fortune’s Fool 2.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Trash Talkin Larry 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Gambling Tzar 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Shivaree 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Walk Away Joe 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Downtown Katie 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Waridi Candy 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Determind Princess 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Nicolar 5.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Ninja Abarrio 4.00 5 9-1
5 5 Self Confident 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Hit the Road Brat 2.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Juniper Juice 15.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Mischief Motion 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Rowsie Express 1.60 SCRATCH
3 3 Ginger Girl 1.40 SCRATCH
12 12 Viennese Waltz 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Molly of Stratford 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 At First Sight 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Champagne Dance 15.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 South Pacific 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Looking for Water 4.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Sun Streaming 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Job’s Not Finished 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Search 30.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Funzalo 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Good Story 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Bali Hai 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wish Me Home 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sir London 1.80 1.1 2-1
8 8 Crisper 15.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Storm the Court 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Wicked Prankster 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Where’s Ray 8.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Street Copper 10.00 4 7-1
9 9 Minister for Magic 30.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Grateful Bred 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Wine Collector 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Excellorator 6.00 1 2-1
4 5 Armando R 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Your Analysis 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 8 Martini Martin 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 It’s Viper 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 7 Brilliant Ice 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Uninvited Guest 2.00 4.7 9-1
1A 4 Search Engine 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Guaponess 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Two by Two 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Bail Out 3.50 5.8 11-1
10 10 Uncle Curly 2.50 6 11-1
2 2 The Best Distance 15.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Jackie A 30.00 7 13-1
5 5 Daredavite 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Prince Khozan 12.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Caerus 6.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Super E 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version