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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hint of Rainy 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Womp On It 3.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 The Blood Rose 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Political Darling 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Aguila Buchona 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Open Bills Corona 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Jess B Sizzlin 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Lias Deluxe 8.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Ks Eagle Quick 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Patriot Mountain 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jess Ray Ray 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 La Prize Streak 12.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Docs Sfj 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Jrs Madelyns Ego 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Spy On Jess 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Zoomingprincezydeco 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Hesa Crazy Storm 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rogue Effort 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Miss Tee Winning Cos 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Mda Sweet Corona Tay 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 De Bell Train 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Dlj Pilotos Lady 10.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Sylvi Can Too 3.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Jesst B Train 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Shinningeagle 8.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Jes a Foose 20.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 Happy Our Special 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jrs Majestic Runaway 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Open Me Champagne 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Elvis Gotta B Fast 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Jp La Venadita 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Little Sweet One 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Load the Wagon Train 8.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 A Corona Moon 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Dlj Jess Thrill Me 3.50 7.1 13-1
3 3 Mr Dohick 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The D Oh Double G 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Zoomin Tee 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Gpf Cajun Connection 4.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 American Clown 4.50 4.6 9-1
10 10 Azzul 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Sheza Rare Blood 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Shania Traine 8.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Tf Im Just Rippin 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Moe Carter 15.00 9.3 17-1
4 4 Heza Hustler 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tf Mady Rae 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Sheza Monee Train 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Jj One Jessan 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Listen Linda B 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Yalls Eagle 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Sweet and Classic 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 First Time Coed 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 One Fast Perry 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ab Chalalo 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Jrs Coronas Toast 2.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Apollitical Force 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Bonafyde 12.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Won My Heart 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Jess a Cali Blue 12.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 The Reserve 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Five Bar Presence 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Moonin Dagouti 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Painted Spit Curl 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Flamboyant Eagle 6.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 Whata Jessie 10.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Classy Habits 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 First Majestic Jewel 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Bd First Eagle 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Tee Irish Jameson 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Kataklysmik 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Dlj Rosa Eagle 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Derby) – Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 B Second Cowboy 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Gotagogh 1.80 2.7 5-1
4 4 Woopaa123 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Motion of Grace 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Think Again Kev 12.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Eagle Flyn Thru Fire 20.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 White Collar 6.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Regardlezz 12.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Blood Aztec 15.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Big Red Train 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mojito Time 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Pepsi Chick 15.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Jessa Dashin Hero 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 My Favorite Tejanita 12.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Adelita Stone 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Rm Mines Train B 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Beg Feature 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Janices Prospect 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Keep Working 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Bt Dontcloseureyes 6.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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