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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Cairo Caper 0 0-1
1 1 Kokomo 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dewolf 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Conacher 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Cairo Caper 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Monterey Bay 1.40 4.9 9-1
4 4 Shifty 4.50 6.4 12-1
5 5 Isaac Leo 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Umneyaat 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Sweet Serenade 3.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Thunderheavyrain 20.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Hot Omelet 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Endorphin Rush 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Serenading Hall 2.50 5.8 11-1
7 7 Delphia 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Stole the Ring 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Old Secrets 12.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Absolute Jewel 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Onandonandon 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Make No Mistake 1.80 1.2 2-1
1 1 Emerald Lake 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Text Me Up 2.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Buttered Toast 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 English Biscuit 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Turf and Surf 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Forest Vixen 6.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Blonde Dynamo 15.00 2 4-1
4 4 Hayek 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Forever Danish 20.00 4 7-1
3 3 Original Me 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Contagiouslaughter 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Ashwicken 12.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Now You See Me 3.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Saucy Name 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Princessonamission 15.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Good News Money 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Unheard 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Zeena Swift 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Go Giffen 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Spectacular Force 4.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 African Safari 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Playfully Frac’in 8.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Noyzee Girl 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 L’Esprit 10.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Sparkle’s Lil Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chipotle Pepper 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Featherweight 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 J M R Sweet Esme 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Our Stella 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Duchess Queen 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Prairie Sky 3.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Fulcra 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Shootin’ Amy 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ghostly Perfection 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Lookhowpretty 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Texensis 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Virginia’s Legacy 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Zodiac Beach 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Standing Strong 20.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Sake and Sushi 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Speed Loader 3.50 6.9 13-1
4 4 She’sacrowdpleaser 12.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Silver Lasso 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Looks Lucky to Me 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Taproom 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Ladies Rum 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Annia Cornificia F 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Iron Princess 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Brit 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Princess O Denmark 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Madam Gwen 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Olivia’s Melody 6.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Powaqa 8.00 10.9 21-1
8 8 Laney Grace 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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