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Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Her Lucky Lotto 0 0-1
3 3 Fia First 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Chocolatti 2.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Her Lucky Lotto 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Lil Jersey Girl 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Short Ship 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Yeloma 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Secret Life 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Beach Island 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Fabulous Candy 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Ninetyninecarats 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Gwynedd 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Stylish Anna 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Amorica 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pretty Coast 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 La Crema 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Vai Gattina 5.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Sippin’ Time 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Dark Dutchess 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Ganbatte 6.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Chells Girl 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Jump a Fox 10.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Skull Legend 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Look Sharp 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Gatto Be Proud 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Let It Rideness 4.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 Yahoo Omar 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Bar Down Express 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Aspiring Comedian 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 Taporical 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 White Series 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Beltane 8.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Office Corruption 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Fratellino 10.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 To My Taste 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Touched Up 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Our Ethan Charles 10.00 3 6-1
9 9 Pops Harper 3.50 3.2 6-1
11 11 Honor the Cross 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Ben’s Hero 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Two Dollar Eddie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Obstreperous 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dancing Diana 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Style to Follow 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Don’t Tell Kelly 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Spin the Breeze 2.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Popover Gal 1.80 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Orange Juice 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 K’s Storm Ready 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Word for Word 15.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Burton Way 10.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Coronova 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 His Rights 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Steady John 4.50 4 8-1
7 7 Grahmalamadingdong 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Mario’s On Point 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lord Donegal 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Carentan 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jaknava 12.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Grand Park View 1.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Uncle Winchester 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Gallant Creek 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Maximum Color 2.50 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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