Site icon Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, July 3, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Legendary Aj 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Andres Sweet Cartel 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Toast to the Eagle 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Tt Reddi Shiner 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Jj Nanos Meteorite 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Mpsshining Tide 10.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Three R One Fire 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Your Beehind Honey 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Gbh Fiscal Toni 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Blew Duck 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Lm I Am Justified 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Pm Uno Dasher 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Zoomin Blue Star 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Gf Farm Lady 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Crown Me Mvp 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tdz First Prize Dash 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Jrs Majestic Beach 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Louisiana Tah 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Tommys Boy 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Imflyingbyyou 2.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Wild Blue Ivory 4.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Jumbadeholaya 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Coopers Ace Tee 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Jess a Tree of Aces 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Tdz Mia Alibabefoose 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Rh Divino 2.50 5 9-1
4 4 Achieve All 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Mg Freit Train 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Carry On Moon 6.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Amtrack 5.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Open My Cerveza 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Goat Wagon 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 El Capi 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Won for Da Money 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Apollitical Goddess 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Tcb Eye B Famous 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Perrys Midnight Dash 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 My Cc Dynasty 15.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Lonestar Runner 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fm Southern Train 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jess Tempting Reb 2.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Coastal Tide 3.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Kk Mr Piloto First 15.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Wanted Cartel 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Fast Too Lunch 20.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Air Cav Piloto 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Rh Quesito Flash 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Ec Mr Rogue 5.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Ima Calente Kid 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Five Card Blood 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Fast Dashin Colt 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Dead Winner 6.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Sheet N Gheet 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Run for the Prize 15.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Louisiana Power 10.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Rip This Tide 12.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Moneys On 10.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Sheaza Hero 15.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Without a Trace 5.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Corona Blues 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 One Dashing Dove 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Open Your On Corona 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Jes Winnin Cartel 2.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Electric Cartel 20.00 4 8-1
6 6 Ajs Whiskey Bent 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Jess a Wild Candy 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Masseto 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Lil Too Dirty 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version