Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Montevallo | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr Kringle | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hitting Bombs | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Copper Echo | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Your Man | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Rhodes | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Bern | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Friend Louie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saqeel | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harold’s Cloud | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tallahatchiebridge | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Home Run Trick | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grey Streak | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All West | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bird King | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kahala | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Candy for Carmel | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mobster Gun | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Boogie Bode | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kavod | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backside Buzz | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Expensive Cut | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Hush This | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take the Charge | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pipes and Drums | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready to Pounce | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All in Sync | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mugen | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barstool Babe | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sally O’Malley | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beach Bunny | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Endless Glow | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moringa | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Olivia | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cathcart | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dream On Stormy | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Two Sharp | 3.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mink Stole | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Miss Enchanted | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miss Monroe County | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ghostrider | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dancing Princess | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Calathea | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Simply Enchanting | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Promisemeanempire | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lemon Muffin | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scalable | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vinobello | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sanctify | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Here’s the Spider | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Liuzza | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Yes Indeed | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yes to Champagne | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Floored | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Wonder Ride | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mischievousness | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Monarch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | America’s Vow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Standoutsensation | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hurry Hurry | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baba Voss | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Santos Dumont | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Blue Line | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Floki’s Flight | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Onthestage | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cooke Creek | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | O P Firecracker | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hern | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stowaway | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Arrowthegreat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Phantom Ride | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Wise Dan S.) – Wise Dan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ottoman Fleet (GB) | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing the Crown | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exaulted | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Win for the Money | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Johny’s Fireball | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Tide | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Fasig-tipton Fleur De Lis S.) – Fasig-tipton Fleur De Lis S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Scylla | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Xigera | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Free Like a Girl | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shotgun Hottie | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Occult | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taxed | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (American Derby) – American Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lagynos | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agate Road | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First World War | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Principle | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Green Light | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brilliant Berti | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Depiction | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Kelly’s Landing S.) – Kelly’s Landing S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Anarchist | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ryvit | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Closethegame Sugar | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tejano Twist | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Angkor | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoist the Gold | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bango | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spankster | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stephen Foster S.) – Stephen Foster S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | First Mission | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kingsbarns | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disarm | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamlike | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Causeway | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Skippylongstocking | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pyrenees | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steal Sunshine | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy American | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Tepin S.) – Tepin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Just Better | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simply in Front | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poolside With Slim (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kathynmarissa | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Brazilian Girl | 50.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Fox Givin | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dancing N Dixie | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pipsy (IRE) | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dozen Diamonds | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kodiac Wintergreen (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Voodoo Magic (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.