Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Crimson Nights |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Echo Seven |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Speedy Executive |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Disgruntledpelican |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
A Sting for Love |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aziel |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Mr. Marshall |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Celentano |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Meko Makee |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cadfael |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Amazing Success |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Moon Over Egbert |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chunky Monkey |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Busta Groove |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
This Katz for Real |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mister Holden |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vini Vidi Vici |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Proud Ronin |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Golden Wind |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lemon Twist |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Java Power |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ontario Holiday |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Left in My Dust |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Signonthdottedline |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Silent Sky |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fortyfiveseventy |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zisisit (IRE) |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Swinging Mandy |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Novel |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Inscrutable |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Julie’s Mist |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Voice From Above |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Mo Tourist |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Prince of Ayrshire |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Anselmo |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Might Bee Speedy |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bet N Win |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Just Start Me Up |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Baytown Elvis |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vincenzino |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
British Artillery |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
War in Charge |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Victory Town |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Arashi |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cooler Man |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shamateur |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Lonhro’s Gamble |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Red in Front |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Today |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Frac City |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Joeybones |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Quandale |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sing Dixie |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hard Reload |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Oh Peanuts |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.