Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Macaw |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Brownstone |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bookie Brent |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Temecula |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ped d’Oro |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Air It Out |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Redeposit |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Furious Anger |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Laughinalltheway |
4.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Funny Uncle |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Special Dispatch |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
First Player |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
West Coast Cruiser |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Dance Some Mo |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Winston Wolf |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Long Crow |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Knox |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Romeo Lima |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Joint Venture |
3.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Striking Sparks |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
El Prestigio |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hawija |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jimmy’s Dailys |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eighty West |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jack’s Promise |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Perfect Force |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stiglets |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brie’s in Town |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
U Devil You |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Floodlites |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Wants N Needs |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Storms Home |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wants N Needs |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Knicks Storm |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gettysburg Address |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ridgewood Runner |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hailstorm |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Banjo Chris |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Chulligan |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Phenomenal Dream |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Twirling Troillet |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jon’s Street Band |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tie Breaker Lennie |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Puckster |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Weekend Flame |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kall Karl |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vigano |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Plain and Simple |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Show Time |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pinfire |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Extra Halo |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dual Monarchy |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Merlotti |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiverton |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
East From West |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flat On |
2.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Altered Shot |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Qualy |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Laura’s Charm |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
All I Want Is You |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Panama Red (IRE) |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sara Mia |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kendal Grace |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Krispy Rice |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Pistol |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Charriere |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Speedy Traveler |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Willow Bend |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Nay V Belle |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Culprit |
|
0 |
0-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bourbon Society |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
In Speight of What |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Carnitine |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tornado Road |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Culprit |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Padiddle |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
In Writing |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Star Topper |
8.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tapit’s Tale |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Haizum |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
D’oro Lemon |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stronsino |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.